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Life expectancy predictions for CD and DVD media vary between several and hundreds of years – dependant on the test methods used.
Each time, an optical disk is used, its life expectancy is shortened. Beside mechanical stress and dirtying temperature, humidity and light exposure affect the life expectancy of optical discs.
A study performed by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) found huge differences between life expectancy of CD/DVD media depending on the dye types used in the media. NIST found CD-R media with phthalocyanine (gold CD-Rs with a greenish yellow colour) more stable than CD-R media with cyanine and azo. Since there is varying proprietary modifications made to the dye formulations for DVD-R, which are less accessible than for CD-R, NIST could not make make a determination of DVD-R stability based on dye.
According to experts, life expectancy of optical media cannot be estimated by relying on brand names. A cheaper no-name product can be as reliable as an expensive brand product. Leading manufacturers could modify production methods with negative effects on media stability and reliability as well as small manufacturers could. Also, according to experts, there are bad gold CD-Rs and good non-gold CD-Rs.
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